Student Debt & Education

Student Debt Is Delaying Families (2026 Numbers)

Short answer: Student debt delays families because a loan payment and a child compete for the same income. The average borrower owes about $38,000 (Federal Reserve and Education Data Initiative), while raising a child to 18 costs over $300,000 (USDA and Brookings estimates). Adults who cannot afford both often postpone one.

Student debt and having kids pull on the same paycheck. A young couple with two loans and a lease does not have an abstract fertility question. They have a spreadsheet, and the spreadsheet says wait.

How does student debt shape the decision to have children?

It shrinks the room in the monthly budget. A borrower with a $38,000 balance on a 10-year plan pays about $420 a month, at 6 percent interest. A second borrower in the household doubles it. That is before rent, a car, and insurance.

A baby adds costs fast. Diapers, formula, and medical bills are the start. Then comes childcare, which is often the largest line. Full-time center care commonly runs $10,000 to $17,000 or more per year per child (Child Care Aware). In many states, that exceeds in-state public college tuition. See childcare costs more than college for the comparison.

What does a child cost next to a loan?

Put the numbers side by side.

Typical costs a young household weighs (approximate)

Raising a child to 18
$300,000+
Infant care, high end, 1 year
~$17,000
Average student loan balance
~$38,000

Source: USDA and Brookings estimates (child cost); Child Care Aware (childcare); Federal Reserve and Education Data Initiative (loan balance). Rounded.

The loan looks small beside the child. But the loan comes first, and it comes monthly. It also lowers the credit and savings a household needs to start a family.

$300,000+Commonly cited cost of raising one child to age 18, before college (USDA and Brookings-based estimates). Our guide to the cost of raising a child breaks it down.

Is the U.S. birth rate falling because of money?

Money is one factor among several, and researchers debate how much. The CDC reports the U.S. fertility rate at about 1.6 births per woman, a record low and below the roughly 2.1 needed to hold population steady. Housing, childcare, health costs, and career timing all play a role, and so does debt.

Read why people are not having kids for the full picture. The Pew Research Center has found that cost is a commonly cited reason among adults who say they are unlikely to have children, alongside personal preference. Debt is part of that cost.

How does student debt delay the rest of the family timeline?

Debt does not act alone. It delays the steps that come before kids. A couple that cannot save for a down payment stays in a rental. A couple in a small rental waits for space. Waiting stretches the timeline.

This is why student debt and homeownership belong in the same story. The median first-time home buyer was 38 in 2024, a record (National Association of Realtors), while the median age of a mother at first birth has climbed toward the high 20s (CDC). The calendar compresses.

Delay has its own price. Waiting can mean fewer children than people say they want, higher medical costs for later pregnancies, and a shorter time to save for retirement and college. For some, it means no children at all.

What can you do within the system?

You can lower the pressure, though not remove it. Options include:

These help at the edges. They do not repair a math problem built into the system.

Why does the burden land on young adults?

Because the costs arrived together. Tuition rose far above wages (see tuition inflation). Housing outran income. Childcare grew into its own mortgage-sized bill. A generation that did all the things it was told now carries all of it at once.

For wider context, see the student debt crisis and the American dream is broken.

What does the delay cost families?

A later start has real consequences. The most direct cost is time. Parents who have children in their late thirties have fewer working years to save for retirement and college before the next stage arrives. Waiting can also mean fewer children than people say they wanted, a gap that surveys, including those by Pew Research Center, have documented.

There is a financial side too. Childcare costs hit when income may be lower, such as during parental leave, and the United States has no national paid leave program for most workers. Our guide to paid family leave in the USA shows how thin that support is. A household carrying a loan payment has less cushion to absorb an unpaid month or two.

How do the costs stack up for a second child?

They stack. The first child often forces a move to a larger apartment, a second car, or a career change. A second child adds another round of diapers, formula, and childcare, and some families find the second care slot costs nearly as much as the first. See the cost of having a second child for the breakdown. Add a student loan bill and many couples stop at one, or decide to wait.

None of these decisions is irrational. They are what people do when the numbers do not add up.

Does it matter which parent carries the debt?

It matters for the budget, and it often falls unevenly. Women hold a larger share of outstanding student debt than men, according to the American Association of University Women's analysis of federal data. When one parent then steps back from paid work to cover childcare, the household loses income while the loan payment stays fixed. For families weighing whether to return to work after a birth, see whether it is worth working after daycare costs.

Whose choice is this?

It is not just a personal one. A society that wants stable families has to make family life affordable. That means funding education so students do not borrow to the hilt, building housing, and treating childcare as the infrastructure it is.

Right now we ask young adults to take on debt, then penalize them for delaying children. The delay is not a lifestyle trend. It is the arithmetic of a system that moved its costs onto the youngest households.

Frequently asked questions

Does student debt affect when people have kids?
Surveys and economic research suggest debt and cost pressure push many adults to delay children. The average student borrower owes about $38,000 (Federal Reserve and Education Data Initiative), a monthly bill that competes with childcare and housing.
How much does it cost to raise a child?
Commonly cited estimates, drawing on USDA data and Brookings updates, put the cost of raising a child to 18 above $300,000, not counting college.
How much does childcare cost per year?
Full-time center-based care commonly costs $10,000 to $17,000 or more per year per child, depending on the state and the child's age (Child Care Aware).
What is the U.S. birth rate right now?
The U.S. total fertility rate is about 1.6 births per woman, a record low, according to the CDC.
Can income-driven repayment make having kids more affordable?
It can lower your monthly student loan payment, freeing cash for childcare and housing. Terms and eligibility change, so check the Department of Education's current rules.

Fight For A Living Wage is a nonpartisan 501(c)(3). Figures are sourced inline from primary data (BLS, U.S. Census, Federal Reserve, KFF, and similar). See our full stats page →